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  1. #1
    Join Date
    Apr 2005
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    Default The Future of Beef Prices

    The drought here in Texas has gotten bad enough that lots of ranchers are selling off cattle to be butchered that would usually still be working and producing calves for several more years. The price of hay has almost doubled in a year, so importing food for the animals isnít an option. This is going to radically lower the price of beef in the short term, since there will be a glut of beef. But that will be followed by a spike in beef prices the following year.

    If you have a few acres and have wondered about raising a few head of cattle, now might be the time. You can buy cows cheap right now. For a micro-ranch, the price of hay isnít as big a deal. And when beef prices skyrocket in three years, youíll have steaks still on the hoof.

    Anyway. Thatís some local Texas intel that might help you plan for the future.
    Virtute et Armis

  2. #2
    Join Date
    Feb 2009
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    When they go to rebuild their herds they won't be selling as many in the next few years leading to higher prices too.
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  3. #3
    Join Date
    Oct 2010
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    408
    There are going to be a lot of shortages come this fall due to war in Ukraine (affecting wheat and fertilizer) and due to weather in the US. Fertilizer shortages pushed a lot of farmers to move away from corn this year. I would get cows if I had land, but for now am just stocking up on what I can.

  4. #4
    Join Date
    Aug 2005
    Location
    Palestine, TX
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    2,128
    My cows are fat & happy. So are my pigs & chickens. My garden is doing fine too.

    Havenít had much rain so weíre watering more than normal, but not going broke over it.

    Some folks are just throwed off. I have 25 acres of pasture that can be cut for hay. It is dry & ready to go. I have offered it up to 3 different folks to cut& bale it for free because they said theyís desperate & shit. Still sitting there untouched.

    I guess Iíll put the cows on it in a couple weeks & let them have at it.


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  5. #5
    Join Date
    Aug 2014
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    5,713
    Sounds like they're not desperate enough. And now is the time.
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  6. #6
    Join Date
    Jun 2011
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    I have a heifer finishing right now, and an 800lb beef lasts us quite a while... but I'm looking pretty hard at pork, chicken and cabrito for the future.
    Waitin' for a squeeze...

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  7. #7
    Join Date
    May 2000
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jonathon_Spaf View Post
    There are going to be a lot of shortages come this fall due to war in Ukraine (affecting wheat and fertilizer) and due to weather in the US. Fertilizer shortages pushed a lot of farmers to move away from corn this year. I would get cows if I had land, but for now am just stocking up on what I can.
    The only shortages seen will be because of the communist motherfucker called Biden and have not a god damned thing to do with anything else on this earth.
    Gabriel Suarez

    Turning Lambs into Lions Since 1995

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  8. #8
    Join Date
    May 2000
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    And I am not worried. I have three freezers filled with grass fed beef, lots of back country to poach whatever the hell I want, and worse come to worse, there are hippies in Flagstaff. I bet Swamp Thing can cook up some hippy jerky that tastes like pig. Color me

    NOT FUCKING WORRIED
    Gabriel Suarez

    Turning Lambs into Lions Since 1995

    Suarez International USA Headquarters

  9. #9
    Join Date
    Jun 2011
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    Midwest
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    Quote Originally Posted by Gabriel Suarez View Post
    The only shortages seen will be because of the communist motherfucker called Biden and have not a god damned thing to do with anything else on this earth.

    Exactly. Him and those handling his strings.

    Oh, look! Monkey pox!
    Waitin' for a squeeze...

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  10. #10
    Join Date
    Oct 2011
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    In the good Old South
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    Fertilizer prices have about tripled, glyphosate (Roundup) almost triple, diesel up by about 3, parts for vehicles are hard to get. All of this will have long term effects on the agricultural community to spill over onto the consumer. It already has. Inflation is not at 6 or 7% In the real world it is closer to 30% or more. A 50 pound bag of sugar 3 years ago used to cost $18. It is closer to $32 now. I blame most of this partly on the covid calamity, but mostly on this latest administration of self serving sociopaths. I did not vote them in. GD SOBs. Then the drought on top of that.

    We very rarely eat beef anymore. Too expensive. We eat a lot of deer, a few hogs, and I like fried squirrels. Catfish is my favorite fish. From the river. Beef could cost next to nothing and we would still eat the same venue. But that's our lifestyle. And guns/freedom are a big part of it. They are the tools.

    But I have to say this: We are still a prosperous nation compared to other places in the world.
    Last edited by Redbug; 08-06-2022 at 08:09 AM.
    Dave

    "If your sport does not put grease, blood, or dirt under your fingernails, then it's just a game!"

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